Friday, 17 January 2014

DLF A COMPLTE AVOID

Has recent market recovery turned around situation for DLF stock? Well, charts speak for themselves. Have a Look


Here’s the DLF weekly Chart
As you can see in the chart above: DLF stock is in serious downtrend as it trades below all major moving averages be it 50 week ma, 100 week ma and 200 week ma. What’s worse – stock has not recovered even above it’s last support level of 176-180. The chart appears damaged beyond repair at this point of time.
One can still buy and HOPE Stock will turnaround but technically there is no evidence to suggest that stock is going to recover any time soon. Worse, there is even no evidence that stock has formed a bottom. Technically – the stock continues to be AVOID.
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RELIANCE PERFORMANCE DURING UPA 2 TENURE










Reliance stock has given lots of pain to its investors.

Here’s the Weekly Chart of Reliance

Reliance stock opened with huge gap-up when UPA 2.0 came to power and stock traded near 1150. It then settled in a range between 900 and 1140 for two years. It looked like a period of consolidation before another upmove. BUT that was not supposed to be the case. The economic and political environment deteriorated and Reliance stock broke down below 900 in June 2011. Since then, 900-910 became a stiff resistance and stock struggled below it.
Now with market once again becoming optimistic, there is a HOPE that Reliance stock may break past 900-910. Whether that will happen – we will wait and see. As of now, only one can watch but remember any move of Reliance above 900-920 will be greeted with lots of enthusiasm and buying
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Wednesday, 15 January 2014

A STOCK TO WATCH OUT IN 2014: TV TODAY


TV Today stock broke out in 2012 but it looks the stock will perform in 2014.


Here’s the TV Today Chart

As you can see in the chart above: TV Today stock broke out above 65 in September 2012. Post Breakout, stock made a vertical move to 92-94 by Jan 2013. But after that, stock went in for long sideways consolidation b/w 65 and 92 which ended pretty badly in August 2013, when stock made a dramatic decline below breakout point. The good thing: stock immediately reversed above the breakout point and again resumed Breakout and Bullish Journey. 
In Nov 2013, TV Today stock made another BIG Bullish move from 85 to 110. This move marks resumption of fresh momentum move in weeks and months ahead. It means stock is a BUY b/w 105-112. TV Today will be a stock to watch in 2014 but if stock declines below 99, then we would review the stock again. As of now, stock looks BULLISH.

Monday, 13 January 2014

IS ACC HEADING TO SUB 1000 LEVELS?

MSG SENT TO CLIENTS ON FISRT WEEK OF JAN 2014  TO SELL WEEK TO SELL ACC

SELL ACC 1080-1070 TGT 1010   SL 1100 LOT SIZE 250  FALL WILL BE SEVERE IF CLOSE BELOW 1000 LEVELS THEN CAN GO ALL THE WAY TO 900 LEVELS

TARGET ACHIEVED ON JAN 24 TH PROFIT 16250





see the price today

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UNITECH HEADING TOWARS SUB 10 LEVELS

UNITECH  HAS STARTED ITS FINAL LEG OF DOWNFALL WHICH CAN  TAKE THE STOCK SUB 10 LEVELS

MS GIVEN ON FRIDAY  SELL UNITECH AT 14.40 SL 14.80   TGT 9-10 LOT SIZE 12000
NO HIT 13.75 PROFIT 7800  RS LOOK VERY WEAK

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Wednesday, 8 January 2014

CAN NIFTY BULLS HUNT DOWN THE FINAL NIFTY BEARS AT 6350-6400 ?


Nifty has built a powerful roof over last 6-7 years and now market participants are desperately looking for force (election results) that can break this ceiling
.

Where’s the roof? – 6400 at Nifty

Here’s how Nifty Weekly Chart has behaved in last 6-7 years

As you can see in the chart above: Nifty has made 3 unsuccessful attempts to break past 6350-6400 in last 6 years. First subprime crisis broke the back of market in Jan 2008, and then in Nov 2010 – the corruption+ inflation threat broke the market down from that same level. Now emergence of AAP post state elections seem to have acted as a lid to the 6350-6400 ceiling.
Now as we move closer to elections and depending on market perception on who will form the next Govt: Nifty’s future course of action may follow. But as a market participant take the event of breaking out above 6350-6400 with total seriousness.

Just look at the way S&P behaved on its breakout to new high



S&P500 also broke out above 12 year High of 1530-1560. Post Breakout, S&P500 made a small pullback to 1560 before taking off and rallying to 1800. That’s what breakouts do. It results in sharp move in short period of time.
Market will do what it has to do, we can only guess.

The Big picture level to remember: Nifty breakout above 6350-6400 will lead to massive upside move in market in short term. So, keep an eye on this event
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ADITYA BIRLA NUVO READ TO ROAR

The Breakout stock is Aditya Birla Nuvo.

Here’s why the Aditya Birla Nuvo stock looks attractive

As you can see in the chart above: Aditya Birla Nuvo broke out above 1026 on weekly chart in Nov 2012. A year has passed and stock has done nothing except consolidation above 50 week moving average. The stock is once again pulling back to 50 week moving average and it looks like the perfect launch pad for the stock to Multi year breakout move.
The stock is Buy as of now and will be hold as long as it holds above 1020. A break below that would lead to review. Remember, Breakout stocks deliver strong gains only when one is prepared to hold and ride the stock as long as it behaves well. 

Here’s one example of Breakout: Lupin

 We covered LUPIN when it broke past 495-510 in March 2012 and see a year and half later – stock is at 986. Breakout stocks are investment stocks and gains are made only when one is prepared to hold and ride it