Wednesday, 4 September 2013

Bhushan Steel IS THERE SOMETHING FISHY

bhushansteel thumb Bhushan Steel – Surprising Data – Low Delivery Volumes but Range Bound Prices!!

-> Bhushan Steel was a darling stock of traders in 2006 and 2009 moves but over the last 1-2 years the stock has gone nowhere.
-> At the same time other stocks in the same sector have collapsed or seen wild moves the stock is holding fort at 450 for almost 12-18 months.
-> Now surprising facts

Delivery volumes are only 5%. Implies 95% of the trades are intra day !!
For a stock worth 10k crores or almost 2 billion dollars the traded value is only 1-2 crores.
A stock which has performed superbly well for last few years ( from 50 in 2009 to 450 now ) there is no mutual fund holding the stock.
Promoters and other entities hold around 80% of the shareholding.
Technically the chart seems to be pretty controlled as no effect of falling or rising indices or peer group companies.
The biggest concern is the fact a stock which is not in the limelight and seeing no price moves has 95% of the trades to be intra day. There is something fishy.

Finally there is only one Fund which believes in the company – LIC.
LIC has bought a good 2.7% stake into the stock as per the last shareholding pattern.(IS FEEL SOMETHING FISHY HERE)

This will be an interesting stock over next few quarters. Mind you technically its a big avoid and if you hold it then book profits.

ONGC , Tata Global – 2 STOCKS AT GOOD SUPPORTS

First to start with given that Nifty trendline has been broken and any rise to 5500-5650 will continue to face resistance it is difficult to take fresh long trades unless its one with good price/volumes and momentum breakout on upside.

But if one does want to do bottom fishing than couple of stocks which come on the technical radar are.


ONGC


ongc thumb ONGC , Tata Global – Two stocks at support lines.


-> Over the last 3 years the stock has been holding on to the support band of 240-250 on the lower side.
-> Earlier we did see a breakout above 300 which gave a smart move but failed to go beyond 350-360 band.
-> One can keep a stoploss of 235 for this trade on a closing basis.

TATA GLOBAL 

tataglobal thumb ONGC , Tata Global – Two stocks at support lines.

-> There is a strong trendline support around 135-140 band.
-> Till it holds 132 one can expect a bounce towards 150-160.