IS ACC HEADING TO SUB 1000 LEVELS?

MSG SENT TO CLIENTS ON FISRT WEEK OF JAN 2014  TO SELL WEEK TO SELL ACC

SELL ACC 1080-1070 TGT 1010   SL 1100 LOT SIZE 250  FALL WILL BE SEVERE IF CLOSE BELOW 1000 LEVELS THEN CAN GO ALL THE WAY TO 900 LEVELS

TARGET ACHIEVED ON JAN 24 TH PROFIT 16250

see the price today

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UNITECH HEADING TOWARS SUB 10 LEVELS

UNITECH  HAS STARTED ITS FINAL LEG OF DOWNFALL WHICH CAN  TAKE THE STOCK SUB 10 LEVELS

MS GIVEN ON FRIDAY  SELL UNITECH AT 14.40 SL 14.80   TGT 9-10 LOT SIZE 12000
NO HIT 13.75 PROFIT 7800  RS LOOK VERY WEAK

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CAN NIFTY BULLS HUNT DOWN THE FINAL NIFTY BEARS AT 6350-6400 ?

Nifty has built a powerful roof over last 6-7 years and now market participants are desperately looking for force (election results) that can break this ceiling
.

Where’s the roof? – 6400 at Nifty

Here’s how Nifty Weekly Chart has behaved in last 6-7 years

As you can see in the chart above: Nifty has made 3 unsuccessful attempts to break past 6350-6400 in last 6 years. First subprime crisis broke the back of market in Jan 2008, and then in Nov 2010 – the corruption+ inflation threat broke the market down from that same level. Now emergence of AAP post state elections seem to have acted as a lid to the 6350-6400 ceiling.
Now as we move closer to elections and depending on market perception on who will form the next Govt: Nifty’s future course of action may follow. But as a market participant take the event of breaking out above 6350-6400 with total seriousness.

Just look at the way S&P behaved on its breakout to new high

S&P500 also broke out above 12 year High of 1530-1560. Post Breakout, S&P500 made a small pullback to 1560 before taking off and rallying to 1800. That’s what breakouts do. It results in sharp move in short period of time.
Market will do what it has to do, we can only guess.

The Big picture level to remember: Nifty breakout above 6350-6400 will lead to massive upside move in market in short term. So, keep an eye on this event
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ADITYA BIRLA NUVO READ TO ROAR

The Breakout stock is Aditya Birla Nuvo.

Here’s why the Aditya Birla Nuvo stock looks attractive

As you can see in the chart above: Aditya Birla Nuvo broke out above 1026 on weekly chart in Nov 2012. A year has passed and stock has done nothing except consolidation above 50 week moving average. The stock is once again pulling back to 50 week moving average and it looks like the perfect launch pad for the stock to Multi year breakout move.
The stock is Buy as of now and will be hold as long as it holds above 1020. A break below that would lead to review. Remember, Breakout stocks deliver strong gains only when one is prepared to hold and ride the stock as long as it behaves well. 

Here’s one example of Breakout: Lupin

 We covered LUPIN when it broke past 495-510 in March 2012 and see a year and half later – stock is at 986. Breakout stocks are investment stocks and gains are made only when one is prepared to hold and ride it

WHY EMERGING MARKETS ARE OUT OF FAVOUR?

Emerging markets have been out of favor for some time now with a well defined resistance at higher end. 2014 has not started well and in just few days, the emerging market ETF is down 5%

There are two popular Emerging market ETF: 1. the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) and the 2. iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM). Let us look at EEM
Here’s the Chart of EEM

As you can see in the chart above, EEM has been trading between 36 and 45 for two years now. Remember, everyone chases performance and right now considering how lackluster emerging markets are performing – there is not much excitement. As per recent data, investors have pulled out $11.5 billion from emerging markets in the fourth quarter of CY2013. On other hand, they have poured almost $116 billion into developed markets funds during same time
Here’s what one should do:
Keep an eye on EEM for decline to 36 (expect support there) and expect momentum above 45.

SINTEX LOOKING HOT FOR 44

MSG GIVEN ON JAN 2 ND
 BUY SINTEX 3000 SHARES  @ 37-37.5 SL 34 TGT 44-45 (HOT) NOW HIT 40/75 PROFIT 10500 RS

STILL LOOK GOOD FOR 44-45 LEVELS

BIG BANG BREAKOUT SUCESS: FINOLEX INDUSTRIES

Technical Analysis is a great tool to identify investment opportunities and here’s one good example: Finolex Industries. I wrote a bullish note on the stock on Jan 21 2013 when stock price was Rs. 71. A year later, the stock is at 166 – up 133%.
 WE RECOMMENDED THIS STOCK ON JAN  2013 TO OUR CLIENTS

The stock made a big momentum surge above 200 dma today by rallying from 62 to 71. Well, this marks the beginning of new momentum cycle. Many of you may think – its too late to enter after a 15% surge – well think this way – What has stock done in last six months even after today’s rally? Nothing – it’s just trading at the higher end of the band. Such kind of momentum action generally marks the beginning of the move and not the end of the move. The bullishness also stems from the fact then when stocks surge after long consolidation – they usually surprise on the upside.

Here’s how Finolex Ind chart has behaved in last one year:

 

The stock is up 133% from the price I first covered the stock. Is the stock done with this bullish move? Nope. One should patiently wait for pullback and look to add more near 130-140. The stock is a HOLD as long as it trades above 50 week moving average which as of today stands at 119.
The case study is an excellent example of how Technical Analysis can be used as great tool for investment decision. We hope you enjoyed reading this article