ANALYSING INDIAN STOCK MARKET RALLY

Don't Dismiss Indian Stock Market Rally just because you don't believe it

 FIRST LETS HAVE A LOOK BACK AT HISTORY

WHAT HAPPENED :

JUNE 2013 : QUANTITATIVE TAPERING MEASURES WAS ANNOUNCED

At the same time in india inflation was soaring higher,gdp falling. IIP was in doll drums .,there was gloom and doom every where  .

In june 2013  Ben barnake US FED CHIEF announced fed would begin its "tapering" program ,means cutting down the amount of dollars printing each month contingent upon the positive US data that showed unemployment is coming down and GDP is improving

 

we can see  in the below graph  in june 2013 after qe tapering was announces market came down dramatically from 6000 levels to 5400 and in august there were  2 weeks of phenomenal selling but lucky both weeks market managed tro give a come back  and give close above its 200 week moving avg .This was technically a sign of selling extortion.

AUGUST 2013 : DOCTOR WAS CALLED TO SAVE  THE INDIAN ECONOMY 

Dr . raghuram rajan was appointed new rbi gov in august will take office  on september 2013.Lot of people believe market bounced back very sharply following this news.It was one of  the incredible decisions of UPA govt to appoint well know credible face that gave confidence to FIIs and india watching funds to give them the confidence  the doctor might to do something to save the economy.

As the economy starts coming down rupess to went down from 44 to 54  then from 54 to 57 but in the month of june- july -aug it just took off from 57 and hit 68-69, this was the time when  things were looking really scary.Then post the month of sep after new rbi gov took office rupess start to stabilize between 62-64 levels

NEW DIRECTION: NARENDRA MODI  

It was almost at the same time the news started coming   the chances of narendra modi becoming pm is so high.

  The economy was growing sub 5% levels,psu bank  is still having  huge NPA problems,infrastructure remains in huge mess.Under these circumstances there came a new hope if narendra modi  becomes india next pm he can fix the problems, that hope became more clear when BJP did spectacularly well in 4 state elections 

 

You can see in the above chart  Nifty was stalling at 6380 for long 6 years  bcz of sub prime crisis. inflation, corruption.just before dec 2103 state election  which BJp did so well market finally broke out.As stocks dont wait for results to come out the same thing happened here too. the opinion pools started coming  and  narendra modi as next pm was going to be a real possibility market just broke out of its 6 year resistance.

NOW THE REAL INTERESTING PARALLEL  THING  WE FOUND OUT  : SO STUNNING

WHEN NEW LEADERSHIP COME IN 

 IN JAPAN   SHINZO ABE  WAS DECLARED AS THE PRIME MINISTER CANDIDATE IS  SEP 2012  HIS RISE WAS ALMOST SIMILAR TO THAT OF NARENDRA MODI REALLY INTRESTING THING IS THAT EXACTLY 1 YEAR LATER IN SEP 2013 NARENDRA MODI WAS DECLARED PRIME MINISTER CANDIDATE OF  BJP SAME LIKE  JAPANESE  MARKET  INDIAN MARKET TO CHEERED THE DECISION WAS  ABOUT TO GIVE A BREAK OUT . IN JAPAN  THE ELECTION RESULT CAME  IN DEC LAST  THEN WAT HAPPENED WAS JUST UNBELIEVABLE NIKKIE INDEX FROM 10000  JUST RALLIED 60 % TO HIT 16000 ... will history repeat itself?

 Is our market heading to 30000+ after election only time will tell.  but we find this similarity really amazing

just see the power of multi year breakouts which we explained earlier :http://trendzofmarket.blogspot.in/2014/03/nify-big-bang-brek-outwill-new-bull.html

 

 

IS KOTAK BANK HEADING TOWARDS 900-1000?

UPDATE ON 16/05/2015 KOTAK BANK HIT 954 

REM
MSG SENT TO CLIENTS ON APRIL 26 TH :

BUY KOTAK BANK ABV 815-820 SL 790 TGT 900-920 LOT SIZE 500
HIT 855 TODAY 
KOTAK AFTER SLEEPING FOR TWO WEEKS NOW WAKES UP PROFIT 19000 RS STILL VERY VERY VERY HOT 

TATA STEEL IS IT A MULTIBAGGER IN MAKINGGGGGGGG?

UPDATE:
TATA STEEL HIT FRESH HIGH 
CROSSES 435  IS THIS THE GAME CHANGER WE ARE LOOKING FOR


MAIL SENT TO CLIENTS  ON MAY 5 TH 9 (4 DAYS BACK)
 Can Tata Steel be The Next Multibagger ????

 SHORT TERM TRADERS BUY TATA STEEL 390-395  KEEP SL BELOW 380 ON CLOSING BASIS TARGET 430  LOT SIZE 1000  HIT 435 NOW  PROFIT 4000O RS

 NOW WHAT IF IT CROSS 435 THEN THE REAM GAME CHANGER COMES

Lets look into the Bigger Picture now

CESC ELECTRIFYING BOUNCE BACK WILL IT CROSS 500?

CESC WILL IT CROSS 500 IN THIS BOUNCE BACK TRADE?

TODAY MORNING UPDATED IN BLOG WHEN IT WAS TRDING AT  480 JUST SEE THE RATE NOW WOOW HIT 500 WHAT A TRADE

CESC RECOMMED TO CLINE'S ON 5TH MAY , 2015  JUST 3 DAYS BACK TO BUY  @440-445 SL 430 TGT 500-530  LOT SIZE 500>>>>STOCK IS GIVING PERFECT BOUNCE BACK  AND HIT 500  PROFIT 28500 RS

HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM HEADING TOWARDS 380+

CALL GIVEN TO CLIENTS  ON MAY 2 ND AND ON APRIL 23 RD TO

BUY HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM ABV 325 TGT 350-380  LOT SIZE 1000 

FIRST TARGET ACHIEVED PROFIT 25000 RS

HITS & MISSES :APRIL 2014

•  
  1. 
     
  TOTAL PROFIT THIS MONTH IN f&O ALONE: RS 5,26,150
• 
  Total NUMBER OF CALLS: 19
  
  HITS:   16   MISSES:   3
  
   
  HITS:
  1. CALL OF THE MONTH
     1.   BUY ARVIND @ 160  TGT 200-225 LOT SIZE 4000 HIT 197.55 PROFIT 1,50,000 RS
     2.  BUY IRB INFRA ABV 105  TGT 120-125 LOT SIZE 4000 HIT 123 PROFIT 72000 RS
     3.  BUY CENTURY TEXT @ 330  TGT 380-400 LOT ISZE 1000 HIT 370 PROFIT 50000 RS
     4. BUY GMR INFRA@ 22.60  TGT 26-27  TGT HIT 26.95LOT SIZE 11000 PROFIT 47850 RS
     5. BUY JP ASSOCAITES @ 55 SL 52 TGT 64-68 HIT 62 LOT SIZE 8000 PROFIT 56000
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
                                            FUTURES & OPTIONS
                                                                                                                            
       
     1.   BUY RPOWER AT 69  LOT SIZE 4000 ST TGT 75  MEDIUM TERM 81+ HIT 76.50 PROFIT 30000 RS
     
     
     2.   BUY 1000 FRL @ 107 SL 1000 TGT 140-145 HIT 137.50 PROFIT 30500 RS
     
     
     3.   BUY 2000 SHARES  HCC @ 38 SL 34 TGT 48- 50  ABV 50 CAN HIT 60  HIT 52  PROFIT 24000 RS
     
     
     4.   BUY SUZLON 3000 SHARES AT 12.50  TGT 22-25-30 HIT 15.50 PROFIT 9000 RS
     
     
     5.   BUY  2000 SHARES ORBIT CORP @ 21 HIT 25  PROFIT 8000 RS
     
     
     6.   BUY 5000 SHARES NCC @ 17.10  HIT 18.10 PROFIT 5000 RS
     
     
     7.   BUY 500 SHARES CORPORATION BANK @ 282 HIT 303  PROFIT 10500 RS
     
     
     8.   BUY 1000  SHARES ESCORT @ 128 HIT 135 PROFIT 7000 RS
     
     
     9.   BUY 250 NILKAMAL @ 210  SL 190 TGT 230-250  HIT 230 PROFIT 5000 RS
     
     
     10. BUY 300 SHARES MCX @ 555  TGT 600-650 HIT 620  PROFIT 19500
     
     
     11. BUY AMBUJA CEMENT 2 208-209  SL 200 TGT 225 -230 LOT SIZE 2000 HIT 221 PROFIT 25000
     
     
     
     
                                         MISSES:
     1.   SELL HDIL 63.60 SL 64.50  TGT 60  LOT SIZE 800 SL  HIT LOSS 7200 RS
     2.   SELL CENTURY @ 359 SL 363  TGT 345 LOT SIZE 1000 SL HIT LOSS 4000 RS
     3.   BUY NHPC @ 20.25 SL 19 SL HIT LOT SIZE 12000 LOSS 12000 RS
     
     
                                CASH CALL
     
     
     THE CASH CALLS THIS MONTH GIVEN TO PAID CLIENTS WHICH HAVE NOT MOVED UP SIGNIFICANLTY SO CAN’T BE PUBLISHED IN THE BLOG
     
     
     1.     BUY GODREJ PROPERTIES @ 170 TGT 200+ HIT 225
     2.     BUY SELAN @325 HIT  585
     3.     BUY VIMTALABS @ 55  HIT 110 (DOUBLED)
     4.     BUY AARTI DRUGS @ 240 HIT 372
     5.     BUY AARTI INDUSTIRS AT 107 HIT 139
     6.     BUY LIBERTY SHOES @ 95 HIT 199 (DOUBLED)
     7.     BUY SASKEN @ 140 HIT 250
     8.     BUY NBCC @ 150  HIT 225  CALL GVEN 3 MONTHS BACK
     9.     BUY BLUE STAR BTST CALL  125  TGT 145-160 HIT 143
      
  
  
  
  
• 
  

ROCKET CALLLL: IINDIAN OVERSEAS BANK

MSG GIVEN 3 DAYS BACKKKK RISKY: BUY IOB FUT ABV 55.50 TGT 58-65 SL 53 LOT SIZE 8000 ONLY HIGH RISK TRADERS MAY SEE IT OTHERS WAIT FOR SUITABLE OPPORTUNITIES----

STOCK WAS ON FIRE TODAY  ACHIEVED BOTH TARGETSS ROCKING PERFORMANCE  HIT 65  GIVING OUR SUBSCRIBERS  76000 RS PROFIT